Research

The difficulties of restoring democracy in Poland

The difficulties of restoring democracy in Poland

17 December 2024
The restoration of democracy in Poland is a slow-moving process, but it offers valuable lessons to other member-states. 
The UK can ride Trump out on trade

The UK can ride Trump out on trade

12 December 2024
The UK will probably face less trade disruption under Donald Trump than some fear – but will have fewer opportunities to improve ties with the US than some hope.
The gap between the 'Brexit reset' rhetoric and the reality

The gap between the 'Brexit reset' rhetoric and the reality

10 December 2024
Rough-and-ready calculations based on the stated demands of the UK and EU suggest the reset might raise Britain’s GDP by 0.3-0.7 per cent.
Implementing the AI Act: The Commission's first big test for better regulation

Implementing the AI Act: The Commission's first big test for better regulation

06 December 2024
Ursula von der Leyen has said her next Commission will simplify the EU’s complex regulatory environment to boost growth, especially in high-tech sectors.
Learning from CBAM's transitional phase: Early impacts on trade and climate efforts

Learning from CBAM's transitional phase: Early impacts on trade and climate efforts

03 December 2024
The EU should use CBAM revenues to fund support for clean industrial investments in least developed and developing countries.
French lessons for Britain's economy

French lessons for Britain's economy

01 December 2024
Since 2008, the UK has had weak productivity growth compared to the US and France. But France's high-investment model offers more lessons for a smaller, more open economy like Britain.
Enlargement and the rule of law: Diverging realities

Enlargement and the rule of law: Diverging realities

27 November 2024
While EU leaders insist that enlargement is a priority, lack of progress on the rule of law is undermining the process.
Is investing in public health a no-brainer?

Is investing in public health a no-brainer?

21 November 2024
The EU should prioritise public health investment under its new fiscal rules and post-2027 budget to secure the productivity of its shrinking workforce and sustain economic growth.  
Can Europe navigate Trump 2?

Can Europe navigate Trump 2?

08 November 2024
Donald Trump will be the next US president. Europe’s leaders need to accept this reality and protect European interests.
European common debt: Is defence different?

European common debt: Is defence different?

05 November 2024
European defence bonds could help strengthen Europe's defences, but they face significant obstacles.

Articles

Is the UK-EU reset worth pursuing?

Is the UK-EU reset worth pursuing?

19 December 2024
Encompass
Labour has taken a defensive position on Brexit since Keir Starmer first set out his red lines at the Centre for European Reform’s 24th birthday party in 2022.
The Joint Expeditionary Force: Deterrent, defender, or distraction?

The Joint Expeditionary Force: Deterrent, defender, or distraction?

06 December 2024
Carnegie Endowment
Since Baltic and Nordic member countries remain invested in the force, they should ensure that it has realistic tasks, is resourced to perform them, and contributes to NATO activities in the region.
"Los políticos, incluso los de derecha, saben que los migrantes ayudan a la economía. Saben que Europa los necesita"

"Los políticos, incluso los de derecha, saben que los migrantes ayudan a la economía. Saben que Europa los necesita"

05 December 2024
BBC Mundo
Con una baja tasa de fertilidad y a medida que los baby boomers se jubilan, Europa necesita llenar esos puestos de trabajo para mantener su envidiado sistema de bienestar y salud, de acuerdo con John Springford.
What Britain can learn from France about growth

What Britain can learn from France about growth

01 December 2024
Financial Times
Planning reform by itself is not enough to supercharge the UK economy
Tackling scams requires a team effort – but the EU is on track to create a blame game

Tackling scams requires a team effort – but the EU is on track to create a blame game

27 November 2024
Finextra
As EU law-makers update Europe’s payments laws, they want to tackle the bloc’s growing number of impersonation, romance and investment scams.
Is the EU taking the right approach to APP fraud?

Is the EU taking the right approach to APP fraud?

12 November 2024
CCIA Europe
The EU law-making institutions are currently discussing updates to the EU’s current payment laws. One of the issues they want to tackle is the growing number of payment scams in Europe.

Press

Charities are often overlooked when it comes to Budget impacts

19 December 2024
Financial Times
John Springford, at the Centre for European Reform, says that by comparing Britain’s trade with the EU to that with the rest of the world, the LSE paper pinpoints one Brexit effect — the barriers imposed directly by the TCA. 

John Springford : « Malgré le chaos politique dans l’Hexagone, le Royaume-Uni a des leçons à tirer de la France »

18 December 2024
L'opinion
John Springford est chercheur au Centre for European Reform. Il se spécialise sur la Grande-Bretagne et l’Europe, autour de questions liées au Brexit, aux migrations et aux marchés du travail ainsi qu’au commerce international. Il a été conseiller spécialisé auprès de la commission du Trésor de la Chambre des Communes au parlement britannique. Dans son rapport 'French lessons for Britain’s economy', il illustre les différentes approches économiques des deux pays.

Europe's conundrum: how to fund defence spending

18 December 2024
Reuters
"We have a problem that some member-states are more constrained fiscally, and some member-states are further away from the military threats, so have much less incentive to pull their weight," said Sander Tordoir, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform. "Solving it with common borrowing allows you to provide common security for all."

Cercul de foc din jurul Europei. De ce nu a reușit UE să aducă liniștea în vecini după 20 de ani de eforturi

18 December 2024
Panorama
„Ideea care a stat la baza politicii europene de vecinătate, aceea că UE dorea să fie înconjurată de un cerc de prieteni, s-a dovedit a fi exagerat de optimistă. Am ajuns să fim înconjurați mai degrabă de un cerc de foc. Avem conflicte peste tot în jur”, declară pentru Panorama, Ian Bond, directorul adjunct al Centrului pentru Reformă Europeană (CER).

Nordic-Baltic security coalition meets amid heightened European security concerns

16 December 2024
The Moscow Times
Among the ideas being discussed is expanding the JEF to include Poland and Ukraine, which could provide a “deterrent presence in Ukraine through frequent exercises and the provision of air support,” according to a recent article by Ian Bond, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform.

Het resetknopje van Keir Starmer

16 December 2024
Het Financieele Dagblad
John Springford van het Centre for European Reform heeft een ruwe berekening gemaakt van de voordelen van zo'n reset. Hij is daarbij uitgegaan van de doelen die zowel het VK als de EU heeft vooropgesteld. Voorbeelden zijn de wederzijdse erkenning van beroepskwalificaties, een ‘veterinaire overeenkomst’ om de handelsbarrières voor voedsel en landbouwproducten te verlagen, en de mogelijkheid voor 18- tot 30-jarigen om vier jaar lang te migreren voor werk of studie.

Why the Franco-German engine that powered the EU is currently kaput

15 December 2024
The Observer
At least, though, France seems to have “learned the lesson” that it needs “a credible, slow, fiscal tightening”, said economist John Springford of the Centre for European Reform. Germany, which needs tax and labour market reforms and public investment to raise spending, has yet to make that step, he said.

„Das sind viel schwerwiegendere Belastungen als die Energiepreise“

15 December 2024
Die Welt
„Deutschland braucht ein neues Wachstumsmodell für 2030,um im weltweiten wirtschaftlichen Wettbewerb nicht noch weiter abzurutschen“, warnt etwa Sander Todoir von der Denkfabrik Centre for European Reform (CER).

As long as people continue to feel aggrieved and undervalued, Labour’s attempt to persuade them that things are getting better is doomed

14 December 2024
Nation Cymru
The new trading rules it has pledged to negotiate with the EU will do little to offset the economic damage caused by Brexit, according to analysis carried out by the Centre for European Reform (CER).John Springford, an associate fellow at the CER, estimates that a “reset of the relationship” of the sort Labour set out in its election manifesto, combined with the demands the EU is making in return, will raise economic activity in the UK by between 0.3% and 0.7% in the long run.

Brussels to demand UK surrenders fishing rights and follows EU laws

13 December 2024
The Times
Charles Grant, the director of the Centre for European Reform, said the EU demands would be difficult for Starmer but could lead to long-term economic benefits. “Starmer’s reset is going to require him to do some politically difficult things which will undoubtedly anger the Conservatives and Reform,” he said.

Podcasts

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: The EU in 2024

18 December 2024
Six of our researchers reflect on the past year and look ahead to 2025.

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Labour's plan for the EU

Charles Grant, Stella Creasy
28 November 2024
Charles Grant and Stella Creasy discuss Labour's plan for forging closer ties with the EU.

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: What does Trump mean for European security?

Ian Bond, Luigi Scazzieri, Sophia Besch
12 November 2024
Luigi Scazzieri, Ian Bond and Sophia Besch discuss the impact of Trump on European security.

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Moldova and Georgia: In Brussels' orbit, or Moscow's?

31 October 2024
Ian Bond and Zselyke Csaky discuss the elections in Georgia and Moldova.

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Europe and the Middle East – just a bystander?

14 October 2024
Anunita Chandrasekar and Luigi Scazzieri discuss Europe's role in the Middle East conflict.

Events

CER/HSF hybrid discussion on 'Von der Leyen's second term: What future for the European Commission?'

09 December 2024
Hybrid London/Zoom
With Marco Buti and Catherine Day. Watch the video of the event here.

Launch of 'Learning from CBAM's transitional phase: Early impacts on trade and climate efforts'

03 December 2024
Hybrid Brussels/Zoom
With Aslak Berg, Elisabetta Cornago, Pedro Gazzinelli Colares and Vicente Hurtado Roa

CER/Kreab breakfast on 'UK-EU reset: Progress and ambitions'

27 November 2024
Brussels
With Lindsay Croisdale-Appleby, UK Ambassador to the EU

CER/Delegation of the EU to the UK discussion on 'The EU, the UK and the Indo-Pacific'

13 November 2024
London
With Isabel Hilton, Niclas Kvarnström and Owen Jenkins

Dinner on 'The future of the European economy and its relationship with the UK'

29 October 2024
London
With François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor, Banque de France