Press

Elisabetta Cornago, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, stated that the EU is actively seeking solutions to enhance trade defences, anticipating a possible increase in redirected Chinese exports. However, she also cautioned that stricter restrictions on Chinese technology imports could potentially disrupt the EU’s transition to greener technologies. By enforcing stringent trade measures in the name of innovation support, the EU risks raising prices, which may slow down consumer adoption of electric vehicles and other clean technologies.

Certainly, there may be some political upside to basking in reflected Trumpian glory. “The coming Trump presidency will most probably embolden Europe’s far right and illiberal actors,” concluded experts at the Centre for European Reform think-tank.

Ian Bond, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, reflected on the potential trajectory of US-European relations under Trump’s second term. “In Trump’s first term he had a number of ‘traditional’ Republicans in key positions around him, able to steer his foreign policy at least to some extent. It seems likely that in his second term there will be fewer restraints on him. Given his stated views on NATO and the EU, that poses serious risks for Europe’s security and prosperity.”

»Det værste scenario, men også et sandsynligt scenario, er, at Trump vil prøve at tvinge de europæiske lande til at vælge side mellem USA og Kina. Det sætter os virkelig i en slem kattepine, for de europæiske lande handler meget med begge parter, « siger Zach Meyers fra Centre for European Reform.

USA presidentinvaalin turvavaikutuksiin on CER raportin mukaan varauduttu luvattoman huonosti.Yhdysvaltain presidentiksi uudelleen nousevan Donald Trumpin kielteinen suhtautuminen Natoon on tunnettu tosiasia. Trump ei Centre for European Reform -ajatushautomon (CER) tuoreen raportin mukaan näe Natoa niinkään Yhdysvaltojen asemaa vahvistavana koalitiona, vaan pikemminkin instituutiona, jota liittolaiset käyttävät hyödyntääkseen USA:n suomia turvatakuita ja voidakseen samalla tinkiä omista puolustuspanostuksistaan.

Hinzu kommt, dass die aggressive Industriepolitik von Joe Biden zu einer Ausweitung der Fertigungskapazität in den Vereinigten Staaten geführt hat, von der Trump in den kommenden Jahren profitieren dürfte, wie das Centre for European Reform argumentiert. 

«Ottenere una finanza climatica più ambiziosa sarà praticamente impossibile senza il sostegno statunitense e questo demotiverà i paesi in via di sviluppo a prendere seriamente le promesse dell’Occidente», ha commentato Elisabetta Cornago del Centre for European Reform.