Press

W Brukseli nikt nie liczy, że rozstrzygające dyskusje w tych sprawach zaczną się przed sformowaniem nowego rządu w Niemczech. – Francuskie pomysły napotkają silny sprzeciw, bo rzucają wyzwanie gospodarczej ortodoksji w północnych krajach UE – tłumaczy Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska z Centre for European Reform, autorka analizy „Nowy deal dla eurolandu: lekarstwo czy placebo?”. Niemiecki minister finansów Peter Altmaier już wczoraj publicznie powątpiewał, czy strefa euro potrzebuje nowych narzędzi do pomocy w razie wstrząsów ekonomicznych.

Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said the talks on the UK’s exit from the EU have made progress on main key issues such as citizens’ right and the Irish border. And Europhile said the European Council may even declare that Britain has made “sufficient progress” when it meets in December. But he warned Theresa May’s troubles were “far from over” and the Prime Minister will eventually be forced to cave into the EU’s demands if she hopes to get anywhere with trade talks. Writing in the Financial Times, the EU expert claims the negotiations are “turning out like accession talks in reverse”. He wrote: “When a country joins the EU, the talks are called 'negotiations' to humour the applicant. 

De stroomversnelling waar de Brexitonderhandeling in beland is, neemt niet weg niet dat de gesprekken moeizaam verliepen. „Het beperkte begrip van Britse politici van hoe de EU werkt, was problematisch”, zegt Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, onderzoeker bij de Londense denktank Centre for European Reform.

“The tragic and morally unjustifiable thing about this is that European Union policy is certainly a part of why this is happening,” John Springford, who studies migration at the Centre for European Reform, a research organisation in London. “But whether that will lead to a change in direction, I am doubtful.”

Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform has set out ten predictions for the Brexit talks, including the Irish border will prove the most contentious part of the separation agreement.

“Although the current focus is on the separation, the next phase of the talks could prove much harder and more acrimonious,” wrote Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, a research institute, in an analysis. “EU negotiators think the British government is deluded about the kind of future relationship it can achieve.”

Irlandczycy od początku sygnalizowali jak ważna jest to kwestia, ale Brytyjczycy chyba nie docenili wagi tego problemu. Teraz to najważniejsza przeszkoda w tych negocjacjach - mówi w rozmowie z WP Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, analityk Centre for European Reform w Londynie.

There may be some carve-out allowing Britain not to apply new post-Brexit EU laws, “but only if those bits of legislation have no material impact on the” key rules of the EU single market, said Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Center for European Reform.