Press

ECB 'climbdown' boosts markets

Simon Tilford
01 December 2010
The Guardian
Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, said: "As it stands ... a number of member states are effectively insolvent and caught in a vicious circle. The collapse of economic growth has devastated tax revenues, while deflation threatens to push up the real value of their debts."

Lisbon treaty weathers stormy first year

01 December 2010
EU Observer
Others say it is too early to judge the Lisbon Treaty, adding that many of Europe's current problems are unrelated to the document. "The Lisbon Treaty is not like a new US president, you can't measure its first 100 days," Hugo Brady of the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think-tank, told this website. … "She has been starting from scratch so it takes time. It is quite an achievement to create an institution. … The EU is a little bit more democratic," said Mr Brady.

Europe's crisis widens

Simon Tilford
30 November 2010
The Wall Street Journal
"By their actions, the Germans have unsettled the markets and brought about what they're hoping to prevent," said Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, a London think-tank.

Analysis: Is eurozone running out of time on debt crisis?

30 November 2010
Reuters
"When it comes to EU politicians and the markets, there is definitely an asymmetry of arms," said Hugo Brady, a senior policy analyst at the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank. "One criticism has been that political leaders move incrementally, rather than in big steps, for understandable reasons," he said, pointing out that politicians have voters and other constituencies to consider, which markets do not. "In my view, the period of sending signals to the markets and seeing how they react has to end. It's not a game the politicians are winning.

Berlin reconciles itself to bailouts

Simon Tilford
30 November 2010
The Wall Street Journal
"The Germans have accepted that there will be more bailouts," says Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think-tank. "They have compromised on their demand that haircuts for bondholders should be automatic," he says.

Shale gas popularity rising but experts remain divided

Katinka Barysch
29 November 2010
Hürriyet Daily News
The new US shale phenomenon is tied to favorable legislation on excavation permits, isolated and uninhabited areas and the growth of small, "technology-savvy" energy companies, according to Katinka Barysch, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform. … Barysch also said European experience with shale gas could not be compared to the US due to long-term contracts between Gazprom, the main Russian gas exporter, and several EU member states.

Splits in eurozone emerge amid debt crisis

Simon Tilford
29 November 2010
New York Times
"I don't think it's sustainable in the absence of a much greater degree of political and economic integration," said Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, a research institute based in London. … "It's very hard for any economy to flourish in the teeth of fiscal austerity of this magnitude — let alone those that can't devalue," Mr Tilford said. … Mr Tilford, of the Centre for European Reform, is skeptical of that argument.

'Annus Horribilis' for Europe's year-old Lisbon reforms may lead to new treaty

28 November 2010
Jakarta Globe
"Is the European Union functioning moderately better? Yes!" said Hugo Brady, of the Centre for European Reform. … "Ashton, whose new diplomatic corps also officially begins business on Wednesday, had an even tougher job to do than Van Rompuy … She had to fight to get inside the bureaucracy … It's now a grumpy teenager, hopeful after its preadolescent difficulties of growing up."

Migration woes to colour key Africa-EU summit

26 November 2010
The Gazette
"What's needed is a special summit on immigration, but it's still early days," said Hugo Brady of the Centre for European Reform. … "The fate of the EU and Africa are joined together over the next 20 years … If you don't put in place a legitimate system to deal with immigration there'll be problems, aggravated by climate change decreasing farming land in Africa."

Analysis: Thinking the unthinkable - a eurozone breakup

Katinka Barysch
26 November 2010
CNBC
"My guess is that for quite a few years yet policymakers will do whatever they can to save this thing," said Katinka Barysch, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform. "If you sit in London, it's doomed. They don't understand the political investment. They look at the bond spreads and think it's doomed."

NATO, Russia to co-operate on missile defence

Tomas Valasek
24 November 2010
The Prague Post
"It comes down on two different sides: One is the obvious one that is if this is a real resetting of relations with Russian, everyone benefits, and Central Europe will benefit the most," said Tomas Valasek, a foreign policy and defence expert with London-based think-tank the Centre for European Reform. "On the other side, Central Europe doesn't want to spend too much time on a reset because NATO doesn't have the power to change Russia's thinking; Russia will always see it as an unfriendly alliance.

Ireland bailout reignites fears about the future of the euro

Philip Whyte
24 November 2010
Deutsche Welle
Turning the eurozone into a larger Germany, says Philip Whyte with the Centre for European Reform in London, could have adverse consequences - not only for the country itself but also for Europe and even the rest of the world. He maintains that "a more German eurozone" would be afflicted by chronically weak demand, debilitating cycles of competitive wage cuts and prolonged economic slumps in the deficit countries. Like many others, Whyte agrees the time has come to make some tough decisions.

Domino effect hits Europe

24 November 2010
RIA Novosti
Charles Grant, director of the authoritative British think-tank, the Centre for European Reform, argues that the Europeans will have no option but to rebuild the EU on Germany's federative model. The Germanic nations, including the Austrians, the Dutch and the Scandinavians, will be only too glad to see that happen, enthusiastic as they are about Berlin's on-going efforts to restore order to the eurozone. Other EU nations are displaying distinct resistance to this prospect of German domination.

Ireland refutes the German perspective

Philip Whyte
23 November 2010
Financial Times
As Philip Whyte has noted in a paper [Why Germany is not a model for the eurozone] for the pro-European Centre for European Reform, the eurozone is far too large to play such a role in the world economy.

Germany's unlikely optimists

Simon Tilford
23 November 2010
Financial Times
"It is over-egging it to say that Germany has become a dynamic growth motor for the rest of Europe," says Simon Tilford at the Centre for European Reform, a London think-tank. "If foreign demand for German products falls, we could see a renewed push by German companies to reduce wage costs and renewed stagnation of domestic demand."

Fear stalks eurozone as Ireland faces ruin

23 November 2010
The Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, said: "This Irish rescue doesn't end the eurozone crisis at all. It will be a bloody mess for five years at least. The crisis will persist because the structural causes remain."

Britain can't escape the euro crisis

Philip Whyte
23 November 2010
Global Post
But the assistance is "an act of self-preservation" rather than an act of friendly charity, according to Philip Whyte, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform. "Implicit in the bailout of Ireland's banks is the bailout of one's own banking system."

Germany aims to take Europe's reins amid eurozone's woes

22 November 2010
The Guardian
"The euro is the biggest crisis facing Europe and it could carry on for another five years," said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European reform. "The French are fearful of German euroscepticism, of German economic success, of the Germans going it alone on Russia and China, so they will go with Berlin. The Germans are back in the driving seat."

Questioning Germany's economic model for Europe

Philip Whyte
22 November 2010
New York Times
Elsewhere, Philip Whyte of the Centre for European Reform, a British research organisation, foresaw "deeply pernicious consequences" if Germany's economy emerges as the EU benchmark for everyone else. "A more German eurozone," he wrote, "would be afflicted by chronically weak demand, debilitating cycles of competitive wage cuts, and prolonged economic slumps in the deficit countries."

EU to test Yanukovich on democracy

Tomas Valasek
22 November 2010
Financial Times
Tomas Valasek, director of foreign policy and defence at London's Centre for European Reform, said that under Mr Yanukovich Ukraine is "turning inwards and becoming increasingly authoritarian. The EU should discourage Mr Yanukovich from building a one-party system, while supporting economic and energy reforms," he added.