Press

The TPP is dead, so what does that mean for Canada?

Rem Korteweg
22 November 2016
CBC News
Rem Korteweg, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, told EU Trade Insights that Trump's strategy resembles the Chinese playbook. Expect the US to engage less with the EU, Japan and South Korea, which have a trade surplus with the US, he said. Unlike Obama, Trump won't make trade deals a foreign policy tool, Korteweg told the online trade publication. Instead, he will take a "narrow, transactional approach to FTAs like China used to do."

Donald Trump is a domestic tragedy for America and, as his TPP decision suggests, a catastrophe for Brexit Britain

Simon Tilford
22 November 2016
The Independent
As Simon Tilford of the Centre for European Reform points out, the US negotiators may well demand American pharmaceutical giants be given the freedom to undermine the monopoly drug-buying power of the NHS, or to prise open the British agricultural market, in its entirety, to dominant US producers.

Brexit Britain faces threat of higher EU barriers

22 November 2016
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said commission officials insist “not entirely convincingly” that this tightening is unrelated to Brexit. But “France is driving this hard line on financial services and nobody is resisting”, he said.

Brexit Briefing: Dancing on a cliff edge

22 November 2016
Financial Times
As Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform writes in a comprehensive analysis on Tuesday, EU officials "insist that during the transition the UK would have to accept free movement and European Court of Justice rulings. They know that this may be politically unacceptable for May."

PM warned transition Brexit deal 'fiendishly difficult' to achieve

21 November 2016
The Guardian
Charles Grant, director at the think-tank Centre for European Reform, said seeking a transition deal could delay key aims of May’s Brexit negotiations such as immigration controls and freedom from European court of justice rulings. “May now understands the need for a transitional deal to cover the period between when the UK leaves the EU and when a new free trade agreement comes into effect, several years later,” he said.

Politics may trigger shift in European economic policy

Christian Odendahl
21 November 2016
Reuters
Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, said the European Commission's call for more spending was unlikely to sway Germany. "The change needs to come from within," he said. But Odendahl does believe that a more vigorous debate is developing within Germany over the wisdom of Schaeuble's "Schwarze Null", or balanced budget, policies.

Polskie Radio 24: Brexit: Szkocja i Walia mają głos

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
19 November 2016
The CER's Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska speaks to Polskie Radio 24 about the Supreme Court's decision to allow Scottish and Welsh governments to join the court's case.

Politics may trigger shift in European economic policy

Christian Odendahl
18 November 2016
The Daily Mail
Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, said the European Commission's call for more spending was unlikely to sway Germany."The change needs to come from within," he said. But Odendahl does believe that a more vigorous debate is developing within Germany over the wisdom of Schaeuble's "Schwarze Null", or balanced budget, policies.

Brexit: Could UK get 'associate EU citizenship'?

Camino Mortera-Martinez
17 November 2016
BBC News
Camino Mortera-Martinez, an EU justice expert at the Centre for European Reform, said there was "no appetite for treaty change in Brussels at the moment".

CER podcast series: The economics of populism, episode one

Christian Odendahl, Barry Eichengreen, Martin Wolf
16 November 2016
In this episode, Barry Eichengreen and Martin Wolf discuss 'Are macro-economic policy failures behind the rise of populism?'

Tok FM: Chaos wokół Brexitu?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
16 November 2016
The CER's Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska speaks to Tok FM about the chaos surrounding Brexit.

Brexit: The view from Central Europe

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
15 November 2016
Social Europe
The UK’s decision to withdraw from the EU is a blow to Central Europe. The Central European countries will urge other member-states to maintain close ties with post-Brexit Britain.

How does Trump's win affect UK's EU exit plan

15 November 2016
The Guardian
Which prompted Ian Bond of the Centre for European Reform to offer the government this post-Trump Brexit advice: "The UK should focus on leaving the EU with the minimum damage to its relations with its European partners. That argues for minimising its demands and trying to achieve a quick agreement … If the UK is not to take a big economic hit, it needs to stay inside the single market. It should not make cutting EU migration its top priority, and try to salvage what it can of its market access."

EU scales back plans for military HQ as it unveils crisis response blueprint

Sophia Besch
14 November 2016
The Guardian
“Even if Hillary Clinton had won, there was always awareness that Europeans would need to do more for their own defence,” said Sophia Besch at the Centre for European Reform, but a Trump presidency had created “more urgency”.

Donald Trump's election leaves Angela Merkel as the liberal West's last defender

Simon Tilford
12 November 2016
The New York Times
"Never before has so much ridden on the Germans," said Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. "We're very fortunate that Germany is led now by Merkel, because there is a chance she will step up and do what Europe needs her to do."

Londyński analityk: Wybór Donalda Trumpa może wpłynąć korzystnie na stosunki Wielkiej Brytanii z UE

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
12 November 2016
RMF24
Zwycięstwo Donalda Trumpa i Brexit wywołały w światowej polityce trzęsienia ziemi. Wybór na stanowisko prezydenta kandydata republikanów może wpłynąć korzystnie na stosunki Wielkiej Brytanii z Unią Europejską - mówi w rozmowie z korespondentem RMF FM Bogdanem Frymorgenem Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska z Centre for European Reform.

RTVE: Europa abierta - Un año de los atentados de París. ¿Se ha reforzado realmente la seguridad europea?

Camino Mortera-Martinez
11 November 2016
The CER's Camino Mortera-Martinez speaks to RTVE.es one year on from the terrorist attacks in Paris.

TTIP døde med Trumps sejr

Rem Korteweg
10 November 2016
Information
»Enten vil vi se en fuldstændig genforhandling af TTIP, eller også vil den være død og begravet,« siger Rem Korteweg, ekspert i det transatlantiske forhold hos Centre for European Reform i London.

Trump throws the future of NATO into doubt. Europe must step up to defend itself

Sophia Besch
10 November 2016
The Telegraph
It’s not just tanks. The EU’s 28 countries also maintain 12 kinds of tanker aircraft and 19 kinds of fighting aircraft, according to Sophia Besch at the Centre for European Reform. In Eastern Europe, many spare parts are still supplied by Russia. Some countries that do spend more, like Greece, fritter defence budgets away on a vast headcount and military pensions, rather than technology.  When states do procure hardware, they are overwhelmingly protectionist, coddling their own industries at the cost of effectiveness. As Ms Besch puts it, the whole system is full of “duplication and redundancy”.

Europe fears end of liberal Western economic order

Simon Tilford
10 November 2016
Politico
Another potential danger, according to economist Simon Tilford, the deputy director of London-based Centre for European Reform, comes from the veiled threats Trump has uttered towards the independence of the Federal Reserve, the US central bank. “You clearly see a scenario where instead of moderating Trump, the House and the Senate fall behind him, and there the implications for Europe could be pretty serious,” he said.