Press
Allies surprised, angry at British foreign secretary choice
14 July 2016
Voice of America
His first trip is likely to be to Brussels next Monday for an EU meeting and that won't be easy, according to Ian Bond of analyst group the Centre for European Reform. "Given the number of countries and foreign leaders that he has insulted in recent months, I think that's going to be quite a difficult meeting."
Boris Johnson 'lied a lot', says French foreign minister
14 July 2016
The Washington Post
German and French politicians may have little tolerance for a man who during the referendum campaign in Britain compared EU efforts to unify Europe with Napoleon and Hitler. "Boris Johnson doesn't do good personal relationships with other politicians," said Simon Tilford, deputy director of the London-based Centre for European Reform.
Theresa May's British cabinet has new faces but old divides
14 July 2016
The New York Times
“Theresa May needed to bring some Brexiteers into the government in order to protect herself and to counter the charge that she is a closet remainer,” said Simon Tilford, the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, a London-based research institute, noting that she had argued to stay inside the European Union, albeit rather tepidly.
Britain's MEPs ushered quietly off stage as the EU show goes on
14 July 2016
The Guardian
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, warns the EU institutions and other member states against trying to punish Britain for the referendum outcome and alienating the UK before it has left the EU. “Some MEPs may feel uncomfortable that a Brit chairs the single market committee in the European parliament [Conservative Vicky Ford] and some member states may find it annoying that a Brit runs DG Grow,” a reference to Lowri Evans, the most senior civil servant at the commission’s business department.
After 'Brexit', Britain could look to Norway as a model
14 July 2016
The New York Times
“Britain will probably do a Norway-lite, where it will have to cede some market access in return for the right to place some controls on free movement,” said Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. “But once the costs become apparent, there will be more of a debate in the UK about whether it’s enough, and the politics will get really toxic.”
Britain's new Mr Brexit
14 July 2016
Financial Times
How credible a negotiating strategy is this? Not very, says John Springford of the Centre for European Reform. “Mr Davis does not understand the economics. Some 45 per cent of UK exports go to the EU and, on average, about 8 per cent of the exports of each member state go to the UK. So there is far more at risk for Britain in conducting a hard ball trade strategy with the EU.”
Pound's Brexit plunge unlikely to boost exports at 1992, 2008 rate
13 July 2016
Reuters
"Exporters need to continue to invest to remain competitive. If Brexit leads to an investment freeze, the fall in the pound might not be enough to boost exports," Christian Odendahl and John Springford at the Centre for European Reform, a research institute in London, wrote this week.
Pound's Brexit plunge unlikely to boost exports at 1992, 2008 rate
13 July 2016
The Daily Mail
Exporters need to continue to invest to remain competitive. If Brexit leads to an investment freeze, the fall in the pound might not be enough to boost exports," Christian Odendahl and John Springford at the Centre for European Reform, a research institute in London, wrote this week.
Uncertainty clouds Brexit path as May becomes UK prime minister
13 July 2016
The Wall Street Journal
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank focused on improving EU governance, said it is in the UK's interests to delay giving its European neighbours formal notification. More time would allow the UK to better gauge its adversaries' interests and develop a negotiating strategy. "But delay too long and you could lose their goodwill, and if you lose their goodwill you won't get a good deal," he said.
Judy Asks: Is German strength an illusion?
13 July 2016
Carnegie Europe
Germany's strength rests on its large economy, its relative political stability and consensus on key national interests, and the skills and experience of its chancellor.
Nick Clegg MP at our conference on Brexit
12 July 2016
Konrad Szymański at our conference on Brexit
12 July 2016
Speakers included: Richard Baldwin, Thomas Fricke, Andrew Lilico, Ludger Schuknecht, Adair Turner, Mark Boleat, Douglas Carswell, Nick Clegg, Malcolm Rifkind, Konrad Szymański, Robert Cooper, Charles Crawford, Bernard Jenkin, Nathalie Tocci and George Robertson.
Thomas Fricke at our conference on Brexit
12 July 2016
Speakers included: Richard Baldwin, Thomas Fricke, Andrew Lilico, Ludger Schuknecht, Adair Turner, Mark Boleat, Douglas Carswell, Nick Clegg, Malcolm Rifkind, Konrad Szymański, Robert Cooper, Charles Crawford, Bernard Jenkin, Nathalie Tocci and George Robertson.
Economists oppose George Osborne's corporation tax cuts crusade
12 July 2016
The Independent
But Christian Odendahl and John Springford of the Centre for European Reform said this was likely to "backfire". "The stimulative effect of such tax cuts in the short run is weak, as with monetary policy. Companies will be unlikely to invest their extra earnings while they face uncertainty" they said.
No, the markets are not taking Brexit in their stride. Far from it
12 July 2016
The Telegraph
Christian Odendahl, the chief economist of the Centre for European Reform, argues that various factors - like low price elasticity and 21st century supply chain dynamics - subdue the benefits of a falling pound. He believes that any rebalancing of the economy will likely be the result of falling incomes and dampened consumption. This is like Long John Silver rebalancing his gait by cutting off his other leg.
Douglas Carswell MP at our conference on Brexit
12 July 2016
Speakers included: Richard Baldwin, Thomas Fricke, Andrew Lilico, Ludger Schuknecht, Adair Turner, Mark Boleat, Douglas Carswell, Nick Clegg, Malcolm Rifkind, Konrad Szymański, Robert Cooper, Charles Crawford, Bernard Jenkin, Nathalie Tocci and George Robertson.
Sir Malcolm Rifkind at our conference on Brexit
11 July 2016
Speakers included: Richard Baldwin, Thomas Fricke, Andrew Lilico, Ludger Schuknecht, Adair Turner, Mark Boleat, Douglas Carswell, Nick Clegg, Malcolm Rifkind, Konrad Szymański, Robert Cooper, Charles Crawford, Bernard Jenkin, Nathalie Tocci and George Robertson.