Press
BBC Newsnight: Brexit and Article 50 - The view from Germany
30 March 2017
What do people in Germany think about the triggering of Article 50 - and the UK's decision to leave the EU? Diplomatic editor Mark Urban interviews Christian Odendahl (02:38).
Le Brexit, c'est parti!
29 March 2017
Le Matin
Camino Mortera-Martinez, chercheuse au centre de réflexion londonien Centre for European Reform, juge également "très improbable" que les discussions soient bouclées en deux ans.
Theresa May refuse de garantir les droits des quelques trois millions de citoyens européens qui vivent au Royaume-Uni alors que son principal objectif est de réduire l'immigration en provenance de l'UE.
Theresa May refuse de garantir les droits des quelques trois millions de citoyens européens qui vivent au Royaume-Uni alors que son principal objectif est de réduire l'immigration en provenance de l'UE.
I dag skrivs historia - Theresa May trycker på brexit-knappen
29 March 2017
Svenska YLE
Forskaren Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska vid tankesmedjan Centre of European Reform i London tror att May nu kommer att ha en mer försonlig ton.
- Det ton hon använder i sitt brev och i sitt tal är av enorm betydelse för att förhandlingarna ska komma på rätt spår från dag ett. Om hon vill få en bra början kan hon inte komma tuffa krav utan måste vara både konstruktiv och flexibel...
- Det ton hon använder i sitt brev och i sitt tal är av enorm betydelse för att förhandlingarna ska komma på rätt spår från dag ett. Om hon vill få en bra början kan hon inte komma tuffa krav utan måste vara både konstruktiv och flexibel...
Brexit countdown leaves British defense industry uneasy
29 March 2017
Defense News
Sophia Besch, a researcher at the Centre for European Reform, told the RUSI audience that “on balance Brexit could mean that in the EU countries that are proponents of European protectionism, of the buy Euro mentality, will have a greater voice post Brexit.”
Notwithstanding the economic and exchange rate pressures potentially influencing defense procurement, Besch said that whatever the outcome of the negotiations, the impact on industry may not be felt for a while, in part due to the duration of existing equipment programs.
Notwithstanding the economic and exchange rate pressures potentially influencing defense procurement, Besch said that whatever the outcome of the negotiations, the impact on industry may not be felt for a while, in part due to the duration of existing equipment programs.
Tagesschau: Was bedeutet der Austritt für Großbritannien und die EU?
29 March 2017
Tagesschau looks at the predicted exit bill for Britain leaving the EU.
When will Britain finally leave the EU now that Article 50 has been triggered?
29 March 2017
The Express
John Springford, director of research at the Centre for European Reform (CER), said: “If no deal is struck in two years, the member-state departs — unless all 28 countries agree to extend the talks.”
Theresa May has said that “no deal is better than a bad deal”and the UK could walk away from talks. But Mr Springford said: “This is not true...
...“Leaving the EU with no deal would mean tariffs on trade; legal chaos, with every British company selling to the EU unsure if they are doing so legally; and Britain’s alliances with other European countries in ruins.
Theresa May has said that “no deal is better than a bad deal”and the UK could walk away from talks. But Mr Springford said: “This is not true...
...“Leaving the EU with no deal would mean tariffs on trade; legal chaos, with every British company selling to the EU unsure if they are doing so legally; and Britain’s alliances with other European countries in ruins.
Nieuwsuur: Article 50
29 March 2017
Rem Korteweg talks to Nieuwsuur about the triggering of Article 50 and the forthcoming negotiations (from 20.51).
TOK FM: Wielka Brytania dziś oficjalnie rozpoczyna procedurę wyjścia z UE
29 March 2017
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to TOK FM about the Article 50 notification letter.
Es ist ein Beispiel von Selbstbeschädigung
28 March 2017
Die Presse
Simon Tilford, Chief Economist des Centre for European Reform in London, über die bevorstehenden Brexit-Verhandlungen.
The six sticking points that could stymie a Brexit deal
28 March 2017
Handelsblatt
“These talks may prove to be the most difficult and complex negotiation conducted by a British government since the Congress of Versailles after World War I,” Charles Grant, an analyst at the Centre for European Reform, wrote in a recent study for the European Parliament.
When are Brexit talks 2017? Timeline of key dates after UK triggers Article 50
28 March 2017
The Express
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform (CER), said argued that the other 27 countries will have the “upper hand”.
She said: “It is vital that Theresa May strikes the right tone in her notification letter and get the negotiations on the right track from day one.”
She said: “It is vital that Theresa May strikes the right tone in her notification letter and get the negotiations on the right track from day one.”
Why does the UK have to pay the EU divorce bill?
28 March 2017
International Business Times
Late last year, it was thought that the European Commission was seeking an exit bill of €60bn – around £50bn. However, in February, the Centre for European Reform (CER) estimated that the bill could range from €25-73bn...The CER calculates what we can expect to pay based on what we owe, and what we can offset. It estimates something between €25bn (based on honouring commitments made in annual budgets and maximising UK receipts), and €73bn (maximum obligations, minimum receipts).
As Brexit begins, the British face a Europe with far more at stake
28 March 2017
The Washington Post
Simon Tilford, deputy director of the pro-EU, London-based Centre for European Reform, said British officials are “naive” because they don’t realise their demands are seen across the continent as an example of “egregious free riding.”
“It would appear that they realise they can’t have their cake and eat it. But it’s wrong to say that the British government understands now what is possible and what isn’t,” Tilford said. “They’re still much too optimistic about the amount of leverage Britain has in this process, and the amount of wiggle room the other side has.”
“It would appear that they realise they can’t have their cake and eat it. But it’s wrong to say that the British government understands now what is possible and what isn’t,” Tilford said. “They’re still much too optimistic about the amount of leverage Britain has in this process, and the amount of wiggle room the other side has.”
UK braces for an 'emotional' EU backlash
27 March 2017
Bloomberg
May could also use the letter she will send on Wednesday to EU President Donald Tusk to smooth waters, perhaps by indicating a willingness to discuss an exit fee. “Britain needs goodwill,” Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said in a recent report. “If May does not want to further antagonize her partners she should be humble, constructive and flexible in her letter.”
The negotiator: Brexit talks to be Theresa May’s toughest test
26 March 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, head of the Centre for European Reform, says: “Arguably Cameron invested a bit too much in Merkel but there’s a view in Whitehall that she [Mrs May] has underinvested in Berlin.” While Mr Cameron could also call on Mark Rutte and Fredrik Reinfeldt, the Dutch and Swedish prime ministers, in a tight corner, Mr Grant says: “I don’t think she has those personal relationships at the moment.”
CCTV: Devaluation of the pound
25 March 2017
Charles Grant talks to China Central Television about the fall in the value of the pound since the referendum and the impact on food prices (from 01.30).
Cracks on show at EU 'unity' summit in Rome
25 March 2017
The Telegraph
“Europe needs to find a new, multi-tier way to move forward that allows groups with similar interests to integrate without alienating the rest,” said Charles Grant, the director of the Centre for European Reform, a pro-EU think-tank.
“The EU will survive Brexit, but the Rome summit will only be useful if it highlights the problems facing the Union. The danger is that it could all feel too self-congratulatory,” he said.
“The EU will survive Brexit, but the Rome summit will only be useful if it highlights the problems facing the Union. The danger is that it could all feel too self-congratulatory,” he said.
E.U. Is Turning 60 and Searching for Something to Celebrate
24 March 2017
The New York Times
Both Mr. Stefanini and Simon Tilford, the deputy director of the Center for European Reform, are struck by the complacency in Brussels, with rhetoric about the possibility of a multitier Europe lagging far behind the reality of division and competition.
“In Brussels, they see a couple of quarters of economic growth as a sign that everything is well,” Mr. Tilford said. “The first sign of relative improvement is an excuse to sound defensive and complacent.”
“In Brussels, they see a couple of quarters of economic growth as a sign that everything is well,” Mr. Tilford said. “The first sign of relative improvement is an excuse to sound defensive and complacent.”
CER podcast: CER researchers discuss the 60th anniversary of the Treaties of Rome
24 March 2017
CER researchers discuss the 60th anniversary of the Treaties of Rome. The EU has a great past, but what will its leaders do about its many challenges in the future?
Szczyt UE w Rzymie. Jedność, ale na horyzoncie podziały
24 March 2017
Wiadomosci
- Priorytetem jest wysłanie sygnału o tym, że Europa jest zjednoczona wobec wszystkich wyzwań, które ją trapią, przede wszystkim tych związanych z wyjściem z niej Wielkiej Brytanii. W Rzymie liderzy UE bedą starali się podkreślić to, co łączy państwa członkowskie, a unikać tych tematów, które je dzielą - mówi WP Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, ekspert Centre for European Reform w Londynie.