Press

Det ovenstående er hva Simon Tilford, økonom og nestleder ved tankesmien Centre for European Reform, kaller «et mulig scenario». Jeg møtte ham på kontoret hans like ved parlamentsbygningen i London nylig.

There are those, like Charles Grant, who look at the Europe Union today and find that – despite all its undoubted problems - the most remarkable thing is that “everywhere, it appears that the centre appears to be holding”.

"One of the big problems the 'remain' camp has is that the Labour Party leadership is not campaigning convincingly to stay in the EU," said Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. "Having won the mayor's post, [Khan] has credibility. He appeals to the young and the ethnic vote. And he is savvy about the media."

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, ekspert i bl.a. EU’s institutioner i Centre for European Reform i London, er enig. "Jeg tror ikke, at Brexit vil fremme eurozoneintegrationen. Vi så hvordan landene i eurozonen ikke kunne blive enige om, hvordan de bedst kom ud af det økonomiske hængedynd. Der er ikke noget fælles standpunkt,"siger hun, men erkender, at der bl.a. i hendes hjemland Polen er en frygt for, at Brexit vil føre til "tysk dominans". 

According to analysis by John Springford and Simon Tilford, of the Centre for European Reform (The Great British Trade-off), none would be straightforward. All except the last would take us back into subjection to EU rules without us being at the table where those rules are made. That seems a foolish step to take.

As Sophia Besch and her colleagues at CER have made clear, Brexit will lay bare Franco-German divisions in areas in which the UK provided a useful third party. Paris and Berlin will need to engage directly with each other in order to make strategic decisions on the future of the single market, the EU budget and EU defence.

Appearing on Sky News to comment on the results of the Austrian elections director of foreign policy Ian Bond argued that "this confirms what we already knew - that it is very easy to play on fears of migration to gain support for right wing populist parties".

Appearing on Sky's Murnahan Show to comment on the referendum campaign the CER's director Charles Grant, argued that Remain have a much harder argument to make than the Leave side, he said "the international outlook also doesn't help".
Grant also warned that "project fear and the economic arguments are getting to some people but not the young, and if they don't turn out to vote Leave will win."
Grant went on to add: "Remain has to get a lot better at rebutting myths like Turkey joining, quickly and effectively."