UK trade volumes suffer record five-year decline

01 March 2024
Financial Times
“The UK’s weak trade performance is unusual among advanced economies,” said John Springford, associate fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank. He added that most countries saw an increase in goods trade after the pandemic, but “the UK did not participate in the boom thanks to the trade barriers that it imposed upon itself”. “The obvious culprit is Brexit,” he said.

Senkt die EZB die Zinsen noch in diesem Jahr?

01 March 2024
„Lagarde hat ihren Schwerpunkt leicht verlagert, indem sie nicht mehr vor Lohn-Preis-Spiralen warnt, sondern betont, dass die Löhne den Kaufkraftverlust teilweise ausgleichen können, ohne inflationär zu werden“, erklärte Sander Tordoir, ein leitender Wirtschaftswissenschaftler am Centre for European Reform, gegenüber Euractiv.

CER Podcast: War in Ukraine: Where are we two years on?

Ian Bond, Dame Melinda Simmons, Hanna Shelest
29 February 2024
Dame Melinda Simmons, Hanna Shelest and Ian Bond discuss the conflict in Ukraine two years on from Russia's full-scale invasion.

Versleten Britse strijdkrachten staan onder grote druk

28 February 2024
Het Financieele Dagblad
'Trump hoeft niet eens helemaal te menen wat hij zegt om de kracht van Artikel 5 van het Navo-verdrag te ondermijnen', zegt oud-diplomaat Ian Bond von der Centre for European Reform.

Agenda for the next Commission

23 February 2024
Europe must enhance its digital economy amid challenges from China and the US, according to an agenda for the next Commission by the Centre for European Reform. According to the report, the next European Commission must focus on implementing digital laws effectively, fostering a privacy-friendly data economy, and investing in connectivity and infrastructure.

Britain after Brexit: A jumping off point for better EU relations

22 February 2024
Financial Times
John Springford at the Centre for European Reform — best-known for his own work with “doppelgänger” analysis on the impacts of Brexit — finds Goldman’s analysis to be persuasive. 

Change GDPR to bolster data economy

22 February 2024
The next Commission should change the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) to help the European digital economy take off, a new report from the Centre for European Reform said. 
Ukraine's future hangs by a (European) thread

Ukraine's future hangs by a (European) thread

21 February 2024
Time Magazine
Two years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and Western leaders proclaimed their full support for Kyiv, Congressional Republicans seem ready to throw Ukraine under the bus.

Brexit doom is wrong again: it didn’t cause the recession

18 February 2024
The Telegraph
A recent Goldman Sachs study is the latest to argue that UK GDP is already as much as 5 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. This is in the same ballpark as estimates by John Springford at the Centre for European Reform (CER), and others who have used a similar approach.

Labour accuses Hunt of being ‘out of touch’, with voting under way in Kingswood and Wellingborough byelections

15 February 2024
The Guardian
In February 2023 a report by John Springford of the Centre for European Reform (CER)  claimed that Britain’s economy was 5.5% smaller than it would have been had it remained inside the EU.

Brexit blir dyrere

15 February 2024
Dagens Næringsliv
Goldman Sachs nye anslag er i samme størrelsesordenen som andre ferske analyser fra Cambridge Econmetrics (som mener brexit har kostet Storbritannia 140 milliarder pund i tapt vekst) og tankesmien Centre for European Reform, som anslår at Storbritannia taper rundt 100 milliarder pund i årlige eksportinntekter.
Sander Tordoir

BNR podcast: ‘Microsoft houdt dolgraag voet aan grond op Duitse consumentenmarkt’

15 February 2024
Voor de Duitse bondskanselier Olaf Scholz komt de miljardeninvestering van Microsoft in de Duitse AI-infrastructuur als een geschenk uit de hemel. De economie van het land stagneert al min of meer vier jaar en de angst om te de-industrialiseren is enorm, zegt Sander Tordoir, senior econoom bij denktank Centre for European...

How Trump-Nato row could lead to tightened European security and defence

14 February 2024
“You have to be honest about the fact that defence budgets that range between 1.5 and 2 per cent are totally inadequate,” said Ian Bond, the deputy director of the London-based Centre for European Reform. “And you’ve got to get up to 3 per cent that you’re seeing now in the Baltic states, Finland and Poland.

NATO. Coraz szybszy wzrost wydatków zbrojeniowych

14 February 2024
Deutsche Welle
Zaangażowanie Unii w obronność nadal ma na celu przede wszystkim wzmocnienie europejskiego przemysłu obronnego w perspektywie długoterminowej, a nie szybkie wzmocnienie zdolności wojskowych. UE musi skupić więcej uwagi i zasobów na krótkoterminowych priorytetach – pisze Luigi Scazzieri, ekspert z Centre for European Reform.

As Brexit damage persists, a tale of two competing strategies

14 February 2024
The Times
Its [Goldman Sachs] estimate of the cumulative hit to growth is 5 per cent of gross domestic product, similar to “doppelganger” assessments, comparing the UK’s record with similar performers before Brexit, by the Centre for European Reform.

Brexit has dealt major blow to UK economy says Goldman Sachs

13 February 2024
The Herald
The study by the Centre for European Reform (CER), a pro-EU think tank, said that businesses that make an array of products including sporting goods, children’s toys, jewellery and medical equipment have struggled the most with border costs imposed by the UK’s decision to leave the EU, leading to 30% less trade between 2020 and 2023 than if Britain had stayed in the trading bloc.
John Springford, an associate fellow at the Centre for European Reform (CER), said at the time his analysis “shows that Brexit is leading to permanent depression to trade between the UK and the EU”.

The Brexit bill: £100bn hit to UK exports as toy, medical kit and jewellery sales slump

12 February 2024
The Independent
John Springford, an associate fellow at the Centre for European Reform (CER), a pro-EU think tank, said his analysis “shows that Brexit is leading to permanent depression to trade between the UK and the EU”.
Europe and the Gaza war

Europe and the Gaza war

07 February 2024
Europeans have struggled to form a coherent response to the Israel-Hamas conflict that erupted after Hamas’ brutal attacks on October 7th.

Le Brexit, nouvel angle d’attaque du gouvernement contre le Rassemblement national

07 February 2024
« Toute personne s’intéressant un tant soit peu aux questions économiques ne peut nier un effet négatif du Brexit sur l’économie britannique », analyse John Springford pour Euractiv.

France's Attal: You want 'Frexit'? Look at Brexit!

07 February 2024
“Nobody that’s really serious about economics can say there hasn’t been a negative effect on the UK economy [post-Brexit],” John Springford, Associate Fellow at the Centre for European Reform (CER), a think-tank, told Euractiv.
He cites the devaluation of the pound minutes after the vote, the slowing of GDP from 2017 on, net EU immigration numbers falling from 2018 and the hit on EU imports following the country’s withdrawal from the Single Market starting in 2019.