Will Geert Wilders win the Dutch election? Latest polls for the Netherlands election 2017

Rem Korteweg, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform (CER), believes that there is an 80 per cent chance that the Mr Wilders will win. He said: “We have to take the polls with a grain of salt, but Wilder has really been able to create a significant lead over the past two months.” 

But Mr Korteweg said Mr Wilders will not become Prime Minister because the other Dutch parties are not willing to form a coalition with him. He added: “The result of that is going to be a political mess after the election. Wilders will claim that he has the will of the people. 

“But there are very few - if any parties - that will go into Parliament with him.” 

...Mr Korteweg warned that Mr Wilders’ victory could lead to a long drawn-out coalition process, eventually resulting an unstable coalition. “It creates a political problem because the alternative coalition will in all likelihood include no less than five parties,” he said. He said that it is not inconceivable that the coalition could fall apart soon after, sparking fresh elections in the Netherlands. 

...Mr Korteweg said: “He runs on an anti-establishment ticket but he’s actually as establishment as Dutch politicians come. “He’s adept and comfortable at making the anti-establishment point because he has been making it for the last 15 years.”