CER/British Embassy Berlin/UCL European Institute hybrid discussion on 'The future of European security'

10 September 2024
Hybrid Berlin/Microsoft Teams

Introductory remarks: Clem Naylor, Political Counsellor, British Embassy Berlin
Speakers:
Claudia Major, Head, International Security Research Division, German Institute for International & Security Affairs (SWP)
Jana Puglierin, Head, Berlin Office, European Council on Foreign Relations
Luigi Scazzieri, Senior Research Fellow, Centre for European Reform
Michael Scharfschwerdt, Director Policy Planning, Federal Foreign Office, Germany
Chair: Ian Bond, Deputy Director, Centre for European Reform

Europe faces the most threatening security environment in decades. Russia is continuing its war of aggression on Ukraine and has slowly been gaining the upper hand, in large part due to Western delays in delivering aid and increasing defence production. A Russian victory in Ukraine could embolden Putin to test NATO's Article 5 directly, with catastrophic consequences. Threats are also proliferating to Europe's south, with the risk of a fully-fledged Israel-Iran conflict growing. Meanwhile, the uncertain outcome of the upcoming US election is looming on the horizon.

The discussion considered the following questions: What security threats should Europeans prepare to face in the next decade? What will Russia look like after Putin's latest term in office? What might the US election mean for America's part in transatlantic security? What will be the respective roles of the EU and NATO in ensuring Europe's security? How can Europeans develop the military capabilities they need? And how will the United Kingdom fit into Europe's future security architecture?